Artificial Intelligence and Future of Economic Growth and Development

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Glavni cilj projekta AFRaiD je priprava celovite, interdisciplinarne analize vplivov umetne inteligence na gospodarsko rast in razvoj. Projekt se osredotoča na razumevanje ekonomskih in družbenih posledic uvajanja umetne inteligence, zlasti na področjih mednarodnih odnosov, zelenega gospodarstva, trga dela, finančnih trgov, neenakosti, revščine, blaginje, regulacije ter etičnih vprašanj, povezanih s tehnološkim napredkom.

KRATEK OPIS PROJEKTA:

Projekt AFRaiD proučuje globoke družbene in ekonomske spremembe, ki izhajajo iz hitrega razvoja umetne inteligence (UI) in z njo povezanih tehnologij. UI vse bolj oblikuje procese proizvodnje, zaposlovanja, komuniciranja in odločanja, vendar družboslovne znanosti še vedno zaostajajo pri razumevanju njenih dejanskih učinkov. Obstoječe študije so pogosto razdrobljene in zagotavljajo omejene empirične dokaze o povezavah med tehnološkim napredkom, gospodarsko rastjo in trgi dela.

Projekt se osredotoča na analizo makroekonomskih in mikroekonomskih učinkov UI, vključno z njenim vplivom na produktivnost, zaposlenost, plače ter kazalnike, kot je BDP, ki v digitalni dobi postajajo vse bolj neustrezni. V okviru projekta bodo razviti in preizkušeni novi kazalniki, ki bodo natančneje opisovali ekonomske procese v dobi UI.

Raziskava zajema širok nabor tem – od sprememb na finančnih trgih, v mednarodni trgovini in zelenem gospodarstvu do vloge človeških virov, regionalnega razvoja in pravne regulacije. Multidisciplinarna narava projekta se odraža v povezovanju ekonomskih, socioloških, pravnih, tehničnih, vedenjskih in etičnih vidikov.

Projekt AFRaiD predstavlja pomemben prispevek k razumevanju nastajajočega »strojnega gospodarstva« in njegovih posledic za sodobno družbo ter zagotavlja znanstveno podlago za nadaljnje raziskave in oblikovanje premišljenih javnih politik na področju UI.

CILJI PROJEKTA:

Splošni cilj projekta je sintetizirati, pojasniti in nadgraditi obstoječe znanje o učinkih UI na gospodarsko rast in razvoj. Projekt si prizadeva zapolniti znanstveno vrzel v razumevanju ekonomskih in družbenih posledic uvajanja UI, zlasti na področjih mednarodnih odnosov, zelenega gospodarstva, trga dela, finančnih trgov, neenakosti, revščine, blaginje, regulacije ter etičnih vprašanj, povezanih s tehnološkim napredkom.

Ključni cilj projekta je razvoj novih kazalnikov in metod za merjenje vpliva UI, s poudarkom na izboljšanju obstoječih ekonomskih meril, kot je BDP, ki ne odražajo več dejanskih učinkov digitalnega gospodarstva. Z uporabo sodobnih empiričnih modelov in metod (DCGE, SEM, SVAR, SVARFIMA, DEA, ML) bo projekt vzpostavil nove pristope za analizo učinkov avtomatizacije, produktivnosti in tržnih transformacij, ki jih spodbuja umetna inteligenca.

Projekt ima tudi pomembno družbeno razsežnost, saj je usmerjen v vzpostavitev znanstvene podatkovne baze in empiričnih dokazov, ki bodo omogočili poglobljeno razumevanje razmerja med tehnološkim napredkom, gospodarsko rastjo in družbeno blaginjo. AFRaiD spodbuja interdisciplinarno sodelovanje in javni dialog o vlogi UI ter prispeva k ozaveščanju o njenih priložnostih in tveganjih.

Končni rezultat projekta je oblikovanje sistematičnega, empirično utemeljenega okvira, ki bo znanstvenikom, oblikovalcem politik in širši javnosti omogočil boljše razumevanje vplivov UI na gospodarstvo in družbo kot celoto.

Projekt AFRaiD financira Evropska unija, Next GenerationEU. Projekt AFRaiD se financira iz sredstev državnega proračuna
Republike Hrvaške (Ministarstvo znanosti, obrazovanja i mladih – MZOM) preko Nacionalnega
načrta okrevanja in odpornost 2021. – 2026. 

POVEZAVE:

Odobren mednarodni raziskovalni projekt o umetni inteligenci in gospodarski rasti

SHORT PROJECT DESCRIPTION:

The AFRaiD project explores the profound social and economic changes resulting from the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) and related technologies. AI is increasingly shaping production, employment, communication, and decision-making processes. Nevertheless, the social sciences continue to lag in understanding its real impacts. Existing studies are often fragmented and provide limited empirical evidence about the links between technological progress, economic growth, and labor markets.

The project focuses on analyzing the macroeconomic and microeconomic effects of AI, including its impact on productivity, employment, wages, and measurement systems such as GDP, which are becoming increasingly inadequate in the digital era. Within the project, new indicators will be developed and tested to more precisely describe economic processes in the age of AI.

The research encompasses a wide range of topics—from changes in financial markets, international trade, and the green economy to the role of human resources, regional development, and legal regulation. The project’s multidisciplinary nature is reflected in the integration of economic, sociological, legal, technical, behavioral, and ethical perspectives.

The AFRaiD project represents an important contribution to understanding the emerging “machine economy” and its implications for contemporary society, providing a scientific foundation for future research and the development of informed public policies in the field of artificial intelligence.

PROJECT OBJECTIVES:

The general objective of the project “Artificial Intelligence in the Perspectives of Growth and Development” (AFRaiD) is to synthesize, clarify, and advance current knowledge about the effects of artificial intelligence (AI) on economic growth and development. The project seeks to fill a scientific gap in understanding the economic and social consequences of AI implementation, particularly in the areas of international relations, the green economy, labor markets, financial markets, inequality, poverty, consumer welfare, regulation, and ethical issues related to technological progress.

A key goal of the project is to develop new indicators and methods for measuring AI’s impact, with an emphasis on improving existing economic measures such as GDP, which no longer reflect the true effects of the digital economy. By applying modern empirical models and techniques (DCGE, SEM, SVAR, SVARFIMA, DEA, ML), the project will establish new approaches for analyzing the effects of automation, productivity, and market transformations driven by AI.

The project also carries an important social dimension, aiming to build a scientific database and empirical evidence that will enable a deeper understanding of the relationship between technological advancement, economic growth, and social welfare. AFRaiD encourages interdisciplinary collaboration and public dialogue on AI’s role, raising awareness of its opportunities and risks.

The ultimate outcome of the project is the creation of a systematic, empirically grounded framework that will allow scientists, policymakers, and the broader community to better understand the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy and society as a whole.